The Atlanta Falcons will be battling it out with the New England Patriots in the 51st edition of the Super Bowl this Sunday, February 5th when the two teams meet at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas. Atlanta won the NFC title by beating the Seattle Seahawks 36-20 at home and then dismantling the Green Bay Packers 44-21 at home. Atlanta captured the NFC South Division with an 11-5 record this season.
The top-seeded Patriots won the AFC Championship by taking down the Houston Texans at home 34-16 and then beating the Pittsburgh Steelers 36-17 at home. New England owned the best record in the NFL this year and topped the AFC East Division with their 14-2 record.
These two teams have met 13 times in the past with New England holding the edge 7-6. Their last encounter was a 30-23 road win by the Patriots in 2013.
Falcons vs Patriots: bet365 NFL Betting Line (as of 2/1/2017):
- Point Spread: bet365 lists the Patriots at -3 points at 10/11 with the Falcons +3 points at 10/11
- Over/Under: the over is 58.5 points with both at 10/11
- Moneyline: the Patriots are 4/6 favorites to win the game with the Falcons listed at 13/10 underdogs
Falcons vs Patriots Betting Trends:
New England Patriots:
- Season record: 16-2 straight up, 15-3 against the spread
- New England has gone 7-1 against the spread in their last eight road outings
- New England has gone 5-0 in their past five road games
- The total has been under in five of New England’s past seven road contests
- New England is 4-2 against the spread in their past six road games against Atlanta
- New England is 5-0 straight up and against the spread in their past five encounters
- The total has been over in four of New England’s past six contests
- New England has gone 4-1 straight up and against the spread in their past five meetings with Atlanta
- The total has been over in four of New England’s past six games against Atlanta
- Season record: 13-5 straight up, 12-6 against the spread
- Atlanta is 4-2 against the spread in their past six home games
- Atlanta has gone 6-1 in their past seven home contests
- The total has been over in all five of Atlanta’s past five home outings
- Atlanta has gone 2-4 against the spread in their past six home games with New England
- Atlanta has gone 5-1 against the spread in their past six games
- Atlanta has gone 5-0 in their past five encounters
- The total has been over in each of Atlanta’s past five outings
- Atlanta has gone 1-4 straight up and against the spread in their past five meetings with New England
- The total has been over in four of Atlanta’s past six contests against New England
New England Patriots – A Closer Look:
New England is riding a nine-game winning streak heading into Sunday’s big game and have gone 8-1 against the spread in those contests. They’ve also gone 6-1 straight up and 5-2 against the spread in their past seven postseason outings. This is New England’s seventh appearance in the Super Bowl over the past 16 years and their ninth overall. The franchise is aiming to win it for the fifth time. The team is on a roll when it comes to against the spread betting as they’ve gone 19-9-2 ATS in their past 30 games as favorites. Quarterback Tom Brady threw three touchdown passes against the Steelers last week and the 39-year-old’s career numbers against Atlanta are nine TDs with alone interception and a quarterback rating of 115.7.
New England’s defense ranks number one overall this campaign with only 15.7 points allowed per game and the offense was fourth-best in the league at 28.4. But on a closer look, they’ve been matched up against some of the league’s weakest offensive clubs so far this season. Overall, their opposition combined to score just 20.76 points a game this year, which ranks two points below the NFL’s average. The Patriots also need to be aware that the underdogs gone 12-3 ATS in the past 15 Super Bowls and have won five straight outright. In addition, Atlanta averages 302 passing yards this season and the New England defense has been conceding an average of 239 yards each week.
Atlanta Falcons – A Closer Look:
Atlanta enters Sunday’s game with six consecutive victories under their belt and a 5-1 mark against the spread in those games. They’ve gone 3-1 in their past four playoff encounters and were 2-2 against the spread. However, they’re 0-5 straight up and against the spread in their past five playoff games as the underdog. Overall though, they’re 20-7 ATS in their past 27 games as underdogs, which is the best percentage in the NFL since November of 2013. This is Atlanta’s first appearance and second overall at a Super Bowl since back in January of 1999 when they were downed 34-19 by Denver down in Miami.
Quarterback Matt Ryan has enjoyed an MVP type of season in 2016 and he’s the key player here for the Falcons. He’s been red hot in his past six games with 18 touchdowns and no interceptions with four TD passes against Green Bay last week. But while the Falcons have the highest-scoring offense in the league at 34.4 points per game, their defense ranks in the lower third of the NFL at 24.8 points against per game on average. This stat may be a bit deceiving though since the defense has been improving gradually as the season goes on. They conceded at least 28 points in six of their first nine games and allowed 28 points or more just twice in their last nine outings.
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